Primary floor: ≥5pp move, ≥$10K 24h activity, ≥$1K liquidity.
Deadline clusterSignal: High
2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
16 active outcomes · source-grouped
Jannik Sinner
Investigate — this cleared EventAlpha's high-trust discovery floors.
Jannik Sinner moved -10.0pp over 24 hours. Stored-history window: fell 10.0pp from 51% to 41%; no single sharp inflection was detected. Other active outcomes in the same source event also moved during comparable stored coverage, making the event-level repricing worth reviewing.
Ranked #1 of 40 candidates: -10.0pp move, $21K activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Stored-history window: fell 10.0pp from 51% to 41%; no single sharp inflection was detected.
Primary market 24h activity $21KGrouped event 24h activity $340KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 18 Aug 2026, 11:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 16 source-linked outcomes
10 more hydrated outcomes are available from the event analysis.
6 additional outcomes were omitted by the bounded event limit.
Fresh consensus shiftSignal: High
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Investigate — this cleared EventAlpha's high-trust discovery floors.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? moved -6.0pp over 24 hours. Stored-history window: fell 9.0pp from 45% to 36%; no single sharp inflection was detected. The move was accompanied by substantial recent activity and adequate liquidity.
Ranked #2 of 40 candidates: -6.0pp move, $259K activity.
Stored-history window: fell 9.0pp from 45% to 36%; no single sharp inflection was detected.
Primary market 24h activity $259KLiquidity $310KUpdated 18 Aug 2026, 11:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Relative mispricingSignal: High
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
2 active outcomes · source-grouped
Karen Bass
Investigate — this cleared EventAlpha's high-trust discovery floors.
Karen Bass moved -5.0pp over 24 hours. Sharpest stored-history interval: rose 2.0pp, from 68% to 70%, between 02:01 and 03:01 UTC. Its direction diverged from another moving outcome in the same source event, making the relative repricing worth checking.
Ranked #3 of 40 candidates: -5.0pp move, $15K activity, multi-outcome confirmation.
Sharpest stored-history interval: rose 2.0pp, from 68% to 70%, between 02:01 and 03:01 UTC.
Primary market 24h activity $15KGrouped event 24h activity $108KLiquidity per outcomeUpdated 18 Aug 2026, 11:00 UTCUnexplained repricing
Compare 11 source-linked outcomes
5 more hydrated outcomes are available from the event analysis.